Lightning Talk 1: Modeling Residual-Vehicle Effects in Undersaturation Conditions on Uncertainty Estimation of the Connected Vehicle Penetration Rate
Title: Modeling Residual-Vehicle Effects in Undersaturation Conditions on Uncertainty Estimation of the Connected Vehicle Penetration Rate
Authors: Shaocheng Jia, S.C. Wong, Wai Wong
Abstract: In the transition to full deployment of connected vehicles (CVs), the CV penetration rate plays a key role in bridging the gap between partial and complete traffic information. Several innovative methods have been proposed to estimate the CV penetration rate using only CV data. However, these methods, as point estimators, may lead to biased estimat...
Keywords: Connected vehicle penetration rate uncertainty; probabilistic penetration rate model; residual vehicle estimation; Markov-constrained queue; length model; signal control with uncertainty